WTO: The global trade in goods grew moderately in the fourth quarter of 2024. On December 9, local time, the latest issue of "Barometer of Trade in Goods" released by WTO showed that the prosperity index of global trade in goods was 102.7, which was higher than the benchmark of 100. According to the analysis of WTO, global trade in goods continued to grow moderately in the fourth quarter of 2024, but the trade prospect in 2025 is still uncertain and may be affected by potential trade policy changes. (CCTV)Russia said that the fight against the Ukrainian fuel depot destroyed the Russian drone control station. The Russian Ministry of National Defense announced on the 9 th that the Russian air defense system intercepted 10 "Haimas" rockets in the past day, shot down 36 drones, and attacked the Ukrainian army. A drone assembly plant and fuel storage depot were hit. The General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces announced today that the Ukrainian air force, missile units and artillery units have attacked a Russian military personnel and weapons concentration area and two UAV ground control stations. In the past day, the Ukrainian army destroyed 18 armored combat vehicles, 3 artillery pieces, 22 tactical drones, 24 cars and 1 special equipment.The wholesale inventory in the United States rebounded slightly in October, and the wholesale inventory in the United States rebounded moderately in October due to the slight increase in durable goods inventory. According to published data, wholesale inventories increased by 0.2% in October. As enterprises hoard goods for fear of tariff increase, inventories may increase in the coming months. In terms of breakdown, the inventory of durable goods increased slightly by 0.1%, boosted by the inventory of furniture, professional equipment and wood wholesalers. However, automobile inventory decreased by 0.1% and electrical inventory decreased by 1.0%. The inventory of non-durable goods increased by 0.3%, and the inventory of groceries and medicines increased strongly. Wholesale sales decreased by 0.1% in October after increasing by 0.5% in September. According to the sales speed in October, it may take wholesalers 1.34 months to clear the shelves, which is the same as that in September.
Market information: Salim Ramji, CEO of Vanguard, said: The company has integrated the wealth and consulting business with a scale of 900 billion US dollars into a new business unit, thus accelerating investment and meeting the growing demand.Reeves, British Chancellor of the Exchequer: Negotiations on resetting relations with the EU will be launched in 2025.Pimco tends to reduce its holdings of longer-term US Treasury bonds. The main reason is the rising deficit. Marc Seidner and Pramol Dhawan, managing directors of Pimco, wrote in a report on Monday that they have been "reducing the allocation of longer-term bonds" and prefer short-term US Treasury bonds. As the size of US Treasury bonds soared from $17 trillion before the outbreak to nearly $29 trillion, the concern about the increase in the yield of long-term treasury bonds caused by the increase in US debt has become a flash point in the market. What investors are most worried about is the recurrence of the phenomenon of "bond self-defense forces" in the 1980s and early 1990s, that is, some bondholders aggressively sold US Treasury bonds because of the huge government financial expenditure. Seidner and Dhawan wrote, "It is difficult to predict the sudden reaction of the market to long-term trends. No organized self-defense force is prepared to take action on a specific debt threshold, and changes in investor behavior usually occur over time. " Pimco said that in view of the sustainability of US debt and the impact of potential inflation catalysts on the labor force, the institution hesitated to buy long-term debt.
New york Federal Reserve: The inflation forecast for November 3 was 2.6%, while that for October was 2.5%; Inflation is expected to be 2.9% on November 5, while it is expected to be 2.8% in October.Xinhua Viewpoint: "Changing the expression of monetary policy from' prudent' to' moderately loose' means that China continues to adhere to a supportive monetary policy stance. In the early morning of December 10th, Xinhuanet published an article" Xinhua Viewpoint: Looking at the New Trends of Economic Work in 2025 from Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party ",pointing out that at present, China's development is facing many uncertainties and challenges. To do a good job in economic work next year, we must strengthen our confidence in winning. Further comprehensively deepen reform, open wider to the outside world at a high level, implement more active and promising macro policies, expand domestic demand and stabilize the property market and stock market ... Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party has made a series of important arrangements for economic work next year. The expression "moderately loose monetary policy" at the meeting attracted people's attention. "The expression of monetary policy has changed from' steady' to' moderately loose', which means that China will continue to adhere to a supportive monetary policy stance, maintain a reasonable and abundant liquidity, further reduce the comprehensive financing costs of enterprises and residents, and create a good monetary and financial environment for promoting sustained economic recovery." Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, said that it was more than 10 years before China's monetary policy was "moderately loose". Judging from the actual operation, monetary policy is flexible and moderate in implementation. Since the beginning of this year, the market generally feels that China's monetary policy has been in a stable and slightly loose state.LME copper futures closed up $110 to $9,232/ton. LME aluminum closed down 0.16 USD to 2,588 USD/ton. LME zinc futures closed up $54 to $3,126/ton. LME lead closed down $4 to $2,068/ton. LME nickel futures closed down $51 to $15,996/ton. LME tin closed up $767 to $29,918/ton. LME cobalt was flat at $24,300/ton.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13